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Liquid biopsy for average-risk colorectal cancer screening

After convening an expert workshop and reviewing two modeling studies, AGA determines blood tests will be better than nothing, but may lead to more CRC cases and deaths than established screening tests.

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Key conclusions

  • A blood test for CRC that meets minimal CMS criteria for sensitivity and performed every three years would likely result in better outcomes than no screening.
  • A blood test for CRC offers a simple process that could encourage more people to participate in screening. Patients who may have declined colonoscopy should understand the need for a colonoscopy if findings are abnormal.
  • Because blood tests for CRC are predicted to be less effective and more costly than currently established screening programs, they cannot be recommended to replace established effective screening methods.
  • Although blood tests would improve outcomes in currently unscreened people, substituting blood tests for a currently effective test would worsen patient outcomes and increase cost.
  • Potential benchmarks that industry might use to assess an effective blood test for CRC going forward would be sensitivity for stage I-III CRC of >90%, with sensitivity for advanced adenomas of > 40-50%.

This commentary was created by an expert panel convened in September 2023 for the AGA CRC Workshop and considered modeling performed by two independent groups, including a team from the Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) Colorectal Cancer consortium and a team from Stanford University. These modeling studies are published in Gastroenterology:

Effectiveness and Cost-Effectiveness of Colorectal Cancer Screening With a Blood Test That Meets the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Coverage Decision
https://www.gastrojournal.org/article/S0016-5085(24)00174-4/fulltext
DOI: 10.1053/j.gastro.2024.02.012

Comparative Effectiveness and Cost-Effectiveness of Colorectal Cancer Screening With Blood-Based Biomarkers (Liquid Biopsy) vs Fecal Tests or Colonoscopy
https://www.gastrojournal.org/article/S0016-5085(24)00293-2/fulltext
DOI: 10.1053/j.gastro.2024.03.011

AGA CRC Workshop panelists:  

  • David Lieberman, Oregon Health and Science University 
  • Aasma Shaukat, NYU Grossman School of Medicine 
  • Folasade P. May, University of California Los Angeles 
  • John M. Carethers, University of California San Diego 
  • Iris Lansdorp-Vogelaar, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center, Rotterdam 
  • Uri Ladabaum, Stanford University School of Medicine 
  • Timothy R. Church, University of Minnesota 
  • Anjelica Davis, Fight Colorectal Cancer 
  • Chyke A. Doubeni, MD, MPH, The Ohio State University  
  • John M. Inadomi, University of Utah Health 
  • Pedro Nascimento de Lima, RAND Corporation 
  • Rosita van den Puttelaar, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center, Rotterdam 

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